Why Did the US Approve Long-Range Missiles for Ukraine?
Policy Reversal Amid Rising Pressures
The US had long hesitated to authorize Ukraine’s use of long-range ATACMS missiles to strike inside Russia, fearing it could escalate the conflict. However, recent developments, including the arrival of North Korean troops in support of Russia and the impending Trump administration, have influenced the decision.
Strengthening Ukraine’s Position
Officials argue that allowing these strikes grants Ukraine leverage in potential peace talks. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky hinted at the move, stating, “The missiles will speak for themselves.”
What Are ATACMS and Their Capabilities?
A Powerful Weapon for Ukraine
ATACMS, or the Army Tactical Missile System, are surface-to-surface ballistic missiles with a range of up to 300km (186 miles). Built by Lockheed Martin, they are designed to strike high-value targets such as military bases and infrastructure.
Two Warhead Configurations
- Cluster Warheads: Effective against lighter-armored units, but risk leaving unexploded bomblets.
- High-Explosive Warheads: Ideal for destroying hardened facilities and larger structures.
ATACMS were first used in the Gulf War and remain a key military asset despite being replaced by newer weapons in the US arsenal.
How Could Long-Range Missiles Impact the Battlefield?
Targeting Russian Infrastructure
Ukraine is expected to use ATACMS to target Russian military bases, supply lines, and ammunition storage, particularly in the Kursk region. These strikes could disrupt Russian logistics and morale but may not decisively shift the war’s outcome.
Strategic Advantages and Limitations
While ATACMS could force Russian equipment further back from the front lines, stretching supply chains, their limited availability might restrict their long-term impact.
Risks of Escalation in the Ukraine War
Russian Warnings of NATO Involvement
Russian President Vladimir Putin has cautioned that Western weapons striking Russian territory could be seen as direct NATO involvement. While previous “red lines” have been crossed without escalation, the stakes remain high.
Western Perspectives
Former US ambassador to NATO Kurt Volker argued that restricting Ukraine’s use of long-range missiles was an unjustified limitation on its self-defense. However, some critics warn that publicizing the decision gives Russia an opportunity to prepare.
The Trump Factor: What Happens Next?
Trump’s Unclear Stance on Ukraine Aid
President-elect Trump has vowed to end the Ukraine war swiftly but has not detailed how he would handle the use of long-range missiles. His allies are divided, with some opposing further military aid and others supporting accelerated weapons deliveries.
Ukrainian Concerns Over Policy Reversals
Ukrainian officials fear that Trump may reverse the ATACMS policy, potentially halting weapons deliveries and weakening Ukraine’s position in the conflict.
Conclusion: The Future of Long-Range Missiles in the Ukraine War
The introduction of long-range missiles in the Ukraine war represents a pivotal moment. While the decision aims to bolster Ukraine’s defense and negotiating power, it raises questions about escalation and the sustainability of Western military support.
With Trump set to take office soon, the future of US policy on Ukraine remains uncertain. For now, Ukraine must maximize the strategic value of these missiles while preparing for potential shifts in support from its allies.
External Link: BBC
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